China’s Crisis of Success
with William Overholt, Senior Research Fellow of the Mossavar-Rahmani Center for Business and Government at Harvard Kennedy School
William Overholt, who has been among the world’s top experts on China for decades, wrote The Rise of China at a time when most were skeptics.
Now, he believes that China has reached a threshold where continued success requires re-invention of its economy and politics. The old economic strategy based on exports and infrastructure now piles up debt without producing sustainable economic growth, and Chinese society now resists the disruptive change that enabled earlier reforms. He believes that Xi Jinping is pursuing the riskiest political strategy of any important national leader.
William Overholt PhD, Senior Research Fellow, Mossavar-Rahmani Center for Business and Government at Harvard Kennedy School
Dr. Overholt has been Senior Research Fellow at Harvard since 2008. From 2013-2015 he was also Senior Fellow and then President of the Fung Global Institute in Hong Kong. From 2002-2008 he was Distinguished Chair and Director of the RAND Corporation’s Center for Asia Pacific Policy. He served as Asia regional Head of Strategy and Economics for Nomura from 1998 to 2001. Before that, he was Managing Director and regional Head of Research at Bank Boston Singapore. During 18 years at Bankers Trust, he managed a country risk team in New York from 1980 to 1984 and then served as regional strategist in Hong Kong. At Hudson Institute, 1971-1979, he directed planning studies for the U.S. Department of State, National Security Council, National Aeronautics and Space Administration, and Council on International Economic Policy.
Dr. Overholt has published eight books, including China’s Crisis of Success (2018); Renminbi Rising: The Emergence of a New Global Monetary System (2016); Asia, America and the Transformation of Geopolitics (2008); The Rise of China (1993); Political Risk (1982); and (with William Ascher) Strategic Planning and Forecasting (1983). He is principal co-author of: Asia's Nuclear Future (1976) and The Future of Brazil (1978). With Zbigniew Brzezinski, he founded the semi-annual Global Assessment in 1976 and edited it until 1988.
Dr. Overholt received his BA from Harvard and his PhD from Yale.
11:30 a.m. - Registration & Lunch
12:00 p.m. - Presentation
1:15 p.m. - Q&A
1:30 p.m. - Event Concludes
San Francisco State University - Downtown
835 Market Street, 5th Floor (Room 597)
San Francisco, CA 94103
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